Valuation and model review
- SABR identifiability · research synthesis
- Multi-curve valuation · research synthesis
- Quant Lab · educational demonstrators
Search / Rechercher / 搜索APPLIED RESEARCH / 2026
The notes connect a decision question with a method, stated assumptions and explicit limitations. They distinguish documented facts from research proposals.
The links below provide methodological context. They are not completed client cases or evidence of production readiness. All other research themes remain available in the catalogue.
Search and filter all notes ↓Original syntheses of selected passages from Romer, the two Oxford handbooks and Alòs & Garcia Lorite. Sixteen notes and four synthetic-data demonstrations connect assumptions, numerical checks and model-review questions.
A cross-disciplinary programme connecting valuation, contracts, financing and governance.
Explore the programme →The six working papers →Behavioural finance: six selected notes →
RESEARCH LIBRARY
Each note states a question, method, implications, limitations and sources.
Original AHS technical notes · 26 October 2026 · synthetic examples, not peer reviewed. Equations and checks describe the current educational demonstrators; they do not establish production readiness. Find these notes through the site-wide search as well as the links below.
Separate price, local sensitivity and an implied parameter. A volatility inferred from one call quotation is not a forecast of realised volatility.
European exercise, constant continuously compounded rates and dividend yield, constant volatility and a frictionless diffusion framework. Positive spot, strike and maturity; nonnegative volatility.
S₀ and K: currency per asset unit; T: years; r and q: annual rates; σ: annualised return volatility. Formula rates use decimals; input fields use percentages. Φ and φ are the standard normal CDF and density. Vega is the price change derivative per one percentage point of volatility, not per 100 percentage points.
Rates and volatilities below are input percentages, not decimal rates. Values are generated by the same current model; the checks above provide separate consistency tests.
| C (CCY / asset) | 7.427580 |
|---|---|
| P (CCY / asset) | 10.319377 |
| Vega / +1pp (CCY / asset) | 0.394887 |
| C − P − S₀ exp(−qT) + K exp(−rT) (CCY / asset) | 0.000000 |
Use as a convention and local hedging benchmark. Review smile, jumps, discrete hedging, liquidity and costs outside this model. The IV solver rejects incompatible quotations and caps its search bracket at 500%; a solver failure does not establish a market opportunity.
Black & Scholes (1973), The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities, JPE 81(3), 637–654.
Foundational references establish the model context. The displayed conventions, simplifications, synthetic examples and review protocol are AHS adaptations.
Separate discounting, projection and the paid fixed coupon. In this educational flat-curve model, their one-basis-point shocks have different meanings and signs.
Receive floating and pay fixed, constant OIS discount rate and a flat projected rate plus basis. One, two or four payments per year; the last stub is retained. This is not a calibrated market-curve bootstrap.
N: currency notional; tᵢ and δᵢ: years; r_d, F and K: annual decimal rates; b_input: basis points. A is the discounted accrual sum in years. The interface reports par as a percentage. OIS P&L is a finite +1bp shock; projection DV01 is a sensitivity to the flat projected rate, not a full market-curve risk vector.
Rates and volatilities below are input percentages, not decimal rates. Values are generated by the same current model; the checks above provide separate consistency tests.
| PV (CCY) | -24381.643708 |
|---|---|
| Par (%) | 3.050000 |
| Projection +1bp (CCY) | 4876.328742 |
| OIS +1bp P&L (CCY) | 6.851479 |
Use to attribute a simplified valuation change, then review actual calendars, collateral terms, tenor-specific projection and market calibration. Do not interpret the three shocks as interchangeable hedge ratios.
Foundational references establish the model context. The displayed conventions, simplifications, synthetic examples and review protocol are AHS adaptations.
Equity and risky debt share the same asset value, but default probabilities depend on the probability measure. Changing the physical drift must not change risk-neutral equity or debt values.
One zero-coupon debt payment at maturity, lognormal firm assets, constant rate and asset volatility, no asset payouts. Default occurs at maturity when assets are below face debt. This is the 1974 structural model, not the 1976 jump model.
V, F, E and D: common currency amounts; T: years; r and μ: annual decimal rates; σ_V: asset-return volatility. d₁^Q = d₂^Q + σ_V√T. The interface multiplies both PDs by 100 and reports the spread in basis points. μ is entered, not estimated from market data.
Rates and volatilities below are input percentages, not decimal rates. Values are generated by the same current model; the checks above provide separate consistency tests.
| E (CCY) | 53.450283 |
|---|---|
| D (CCY) | 96.549717 |
| PD(P) (%) | 4.120590 |
| PD(Q) (%) | 5.295421 |
| Spread (bp) | 51.121064 |
Use to examine a capital-structure scenario. A quoted credit spread is not directly a physical PD. No early default, multiple debt seniorities, liquidity premium or asset-value calibration is represented here.
Foundational references establish the model context. The displayed conventions, simplifications, synthetic examples and review protocol are AHS adaptations.
State which currency is domestic before reading a price or delta. The displayed delta is per foreign unit; the hedge quantity scales that delta by the entered foreign-currency notional.
European exercise, domestic and foreign continuously compounded rates, constant volatility and positive foreign notional. No stochastic cross-currency basis, premium-adjusted market delta or transaction costs.
S₀ and K: domestic currency per one foreign unit (DOM/FOR); N_f: foreign units; C and P: DOM; H_f: FOR. Rates and volatility enter as percentages and are converted to decimals. The tool scales gamma and vega by notional, but keeps delta per foreign unit; doubling notional doubles premium, gamma, vega and hedge, not unit delta. Notional gamma has units FOR²/DOM; notional vega is DOM per volatility percentage point.
Rates and volatilities below are input percentages, not decimal rates. Values are generated by the same current model; the checks above provide separate consistency tests.
| C (DOM) | 40737.005862 |
|---|---|
| P (DOM) | 44306.197994 |
| Unit delta | 0.499044 |
| Spot hedge (FOR) | 499043.606434 |
| Vega / +1pp (DOM) | 4243.851942 |
Use for a clearly defined spot-delta convention. Verify pair orientation, premium currency, settlement and the desk’s actual delta convention before preparing a hedge. Inverting a currency pair is not achieved by replacing S alone.
Garman & Kohlhagen (1983), Foreign currency option values, JIMF 2(3), 231–237.
Haugh (2013), Foreign Exchange, ADRs and Quanto-Securities, section 1.
Foundational references establish the model context. The displayed conventions, simplifications, synthetic examples and review protocol are AHS adaptations.
DOCUMENTATION & GOVERNANCE
Explore the Banking Management Lab →
Five frameworks connecting a markets problem to a decision, a method, evidence and sustained control. Assumptions, limits and sources are stated in every method.
Six selected notes connect descriptive models with portfolio management, trading, risk and management. Assumptions remain explicit; proposed controls are not empirical results.
The same portfolio can be perceived as a gain or a loss depending on its benchmark. Prospect theory describes relative evaluation; it supplies neither an arbitrage-free price nor a market forecast. Subjective value and decision weights must remain separate from contractual cash flows and pricing probabilities.
W: wealth in one currency; r: reference wealth in the same currency; s > 0: a fixed monetary scale in that currency; x and v(x): dimensionless. α and β ∈ (0,1]: curvature; λ > 1: relative loss sensitivity. This normalised power form is an AHS illustration of the properties discussed in the book, with no parameter estimation.
Application: present a scenario with a common horizon and currency, then compare interpretations against initial capital, the objective and the benchmark. Synthesis: reframing can change preference without changing payoff; present gains and losses symmetrically.
Assumptions: fix the reference and scale before comparison; distinguish gains from losses; allow diminishing sensitivity. A subjective weight w(p) is not an observed frequency. For multiple outcomes, cumulative prospect theory requires rank-dependent weights; simply summing w(p) is insufficient. A past loss does not mechanically justify taking more risk.
Daxhammer, R. J.; Facsar, M.; Papp, Z. Behavioral Finance: Limited Rationality in Financial Markets, 3rd ed., UVK, 2023. ch. 6, pp. 180–191. DOI
Original synthesis and applications proposed by AHS. No behavioural calibration, control effectiveness or performance is established here.
Mental accounting can encourage evaluating each sleeve in isolation; familiarity can favour domestic or employer shares; recency can turn a recent rise into an assumed persistent trend. These mechanisms explain possible decisions, but do not automatically diagnose an investor’s behaviour.
wᵢ: exposure weight, dimensionless; Σ: return covariance matrix over a common horizon; σ²P: portfolio return variance, in squared return units. With decimal returns, σP is decimal. This classical portfolio formula is used as a consistency check, not as a behavioural model.
Proposed application: consolidate sleeves, measure concentrations, document horizon and liquidity needs, and set review rules before market moves. Compare each transaction with holding the position, after costs and applicable taxes. Synthesis: familiarity is no substitute for diversification; rebalancing should follow the mandate rather than a recent impulse.
Assumptions: aggregate exposures in a common currency, use a symmetric positive-semidefinite covariance matrix and a consistent horizon. Correlations can change in a crisis; variance captures neither all liquidity risk nor extreme losses. Goal-based sleeves remain possible if risks are consolidated.
Daxhammer, R. J.; Facsar, M.; Papp, Z. Behavioral Finance: Limited Rationality in Financial Markets, 3rd ed., UVK, 2023. ch. 8–10, especially pp. 277–282. DOI
Original synthesis and applications proposed by AHS. No behavioural calibration, control effectiveness or performance is established here.
Overconfidence can increase turnover and understate uncertainty. The disposition effect can encourage selling gains quickly while retaining losses. Hindsight can then make the outcome appear inevitable. Review decisions and their evidence, rather than realised P&L alone.
All terms are amounts in the same currency over the same horizon. Cexecution includes measured fees and slippage; Cfunding is funding cost; Cother covers other identified costs. Do not count costs already included in gross P&L twice. This is an AHS monitoring identity, with no assumed costs or performance.
Proposed application: record the thesis, falsifying evidence, adverse scenarios, position size and next review. Assess winners and losers with the same criteria and independently challenge material decisions. Synthesis: distinguish process quality, accepted risk and outcome; a gain alone does not establish a sound decision.
Assumptions: timestamp the decision log before execution, trace costs and define limits before the scenario. Increasing exposure after a fall can follow a documented strategy and does not prove bias. Scenarios are conditional tests: a 3D surface assigns no probabilities to displayed regions and does not predict their occurrence.
Daxhammer, R. J.; Facsar, M.; Papp, Z. Behavioral Finance: Limited Rationality in Financial Markets, 3rd ed., UVK, 2023. ch. 8–10, pp. 228–264 and 279–282. DOI
Original synthesis and applications proposed by AHS. No behavioural calibration, control effectiveness or performance is established here.
A funded project may be continued to defend a past decision. Selective perception and self-attribution can make successes feel personal and failures external. The book also connects incentives with governance and presents nudging as choice architecture that should preserve freedom and transparency.
ΔCFt: difference in future cash flows between continuing and stopping, in a common currency; t: periods; T: horizon; k > −1: discount rate per period; ΔNPV: amount in that currency. Exclude irrecoverable past costs from incremental flows; include future exit costs. This is a proposed economic framework, not a behavioural equation from the book.
Proposed application: independent reviews, prewritten continuation and stopping criteria, comparable option presentation and recorded exceptions. For UI: explain defaults, allow changes and disclose costs alongside risks. Synthesis: make challenge practicable and measure the effects of presentation changes before claiming effectiveness.
Assumptions: comparable options, estimated future flows and explicit risks; test alternative costs, delays and benefits. Positive NPV does not replace capital, liquidity or compliance constraints. Biases are review hypotheses, not evidence of wrongdoing or individual motives.
Daxhammer, R. J.; Facsar, M.; Papp, Z. Behavioral Finance: Limited Rationality in Financial Markets, 3rd ed., UVK, 2023. ch. 11–13, pp. 298–301, 307–331 and 333–335. DOI
Original synthesis and applications proposed by AHS. No behavioural calibration, control effectiveness or performance is established here.
CHECKPOINT 01 · TRANSFORMATION FINANCE
La transformation réussie n’est ni une migration informatique isolée, ni une succession de comités.
Une architecture cible devient utile lorsqu’elle précise qui décide, sur quelle donnée, avec quel modèle, à quel horizon et sous quel contrôle.
Front Office, Risk, Finance et Technologie doivent partager des contrats explicites.
Temps de cycle, ruptures, contrôles manuels, incidents et coûts observables.
Critères d’acceptation métier, data lineage et contrôles de modèle.
Une chaîne de valeur utilisable à chaque étape, avec retour utilisateur.
Ownership, indicateurs, seuils et processus de changement après mise en service.
CHECKPOINT 02 · ARCHITECTURE DE COURBES
Une architecture multi-courbes sépare actualisation et projection.
P₍d₎ actualise ; F₍p₎ projette les coupons de l’indice.
Le démonstrateur illustre la séparation des courbes, pas un bootstrap de production.
CHECKPOINT 03 · VOLATILITY SMILE
SABR couple un forward et sa volatilité stochastique.
Les quatre paramètres interagissent.
Une bonne RMSE ne suffit pas à valider le modèle.
CHECKPOINT 04 · STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY
Le défi essentiel est autant numérique que stochastique.
Le prix européen provient de la fonction caractéristique.
| Branches | Little Heston Trap. |
|---|---|
| Bornes | max(S0e−qT−Ke−rT,0) ≤ C ≤ S0e−qT |
| Parity | C−P=S0e−qT−Ke−rT |
| Limite | σv→0 → Black–Scholes à variance intégrée |
| Convergence | |CN−C2N| < ε |
La calibration de vanilles ne valide pas toute la dynamique.
CHECKPOINT 05 · COUNTERPARTY RISK
La difficulté réside dans la cohérence de toute la chaîne.
EPE et ENE doivent être calculées après netting et collatéral.
Le wrong-way risk et les conventions internes sont déterminants.
CHECKPOINT 06 · QUANTUM FINANCE
La bonne question n’est pas « quel problème envoyer sur un ordinateur quantique ? ».
Budget, lots entiers, cardinalité et coûts de transaction peuvent être encodés dans une fonction quadratique binaire.
Le pricing et le risque reposent souvent sur des espérances.
Boosting quantique, kernels et modèles génératifs peuvent être étudiés pour le crédit ou les scénarios de marché.
Cette note ne confirme aucun avantage quantique pratique en production. Elle décrit une méthode d’évaluation.
Three supplied books, twelve focused notes and three reproducible teaching experiments. All calculations run classically in your browser. No quantum device, current hardware benchmark or production advantage is claimed.
No note matches. Clear the search to see all notes.
Select exactly M instruments from an eligible universe. Gather eligibility, selection scores, pair interactions and the required count. Proposed output: an auditable binary objective and feasible reference selections.
Use qᵢ∈{0,1}; add a squared cardinality penalty to linear scores and pair interactions. Inspect every coefficient and the constant offset. The four-instrument example below uses synthetic dimensionless scores.
Binary selection is not a full allocation model. No realised returns, calibrated covariance matrix, execution costs or investment recommendation are supplied.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), Quantum Machine Learning and Optimisation in Finance, 2nd ed., Packt, ch. 3, pp. 65–69, 74–78 (PDF 102–106, 111–115).
Check that an encoding change does not alter rankings or the optimum. Required inputs: upper-triangular QUBO coefficients and constant. Output: an equivalence check over the small reference instance.
Substitute qᵢ=(1+sᵢ)/2 with sᵢ∈{−1,+1}. Keep the constant for numerical equality; count each pair once. The published tests compare both energies for all 16 states.
Hardware conventions for bit order, spin sign and coefficient scaling must be verified separately. No device embedding is performed here.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), Quantum Machine Learning and Optimisation in Finance, 2nd ed., Packt, ch. 3, pp. 65–69, 74–78 (PDF 102–106, 111–115).
A solver returns an attractive score but violates the required number of holdings. Output: a penalty-sensitivity table separating unconstrained and feasible optima.
Evaluate the constraint residual explicitly. Sweep P while keeping scores and interactions fixed. Compare the penalised minimiser with the exact constrained reference.
A large P is not a universal certificate: hardware precision and coefficient scaling matter. The demonstrator is exact classical enumeration, not an annealer.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), Quantum Machine Learning and Optimisation in Finance, 2nd ed., Packt, ch. 3, pp. 65–69, 74–78 (PDF 102–106, 111–115).
Study how a candidate circuit concentrates probability on feasible or minimum-cost selections. Output: the full 16-state distribution and exact-reference comparison.
Apply one cost phase followed by four X mixers to the uniform state. β and γ are user-selected radians. Report expected penalised cost, feasible mass and global-minimum mass.
Ideal state-vector simulation on a classical computer; depth p=1, no parameter training, shots, device noise or hardware run. A low expectation does not ensure a feasible measured solution.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), 2nd ed., ch. 11, pp. 299–304 (PDF 336–341).
Translate financial features into circuit parameters. Gather feature units, missing-value policy, training bounds and out-of-range treatment. Output: a versioned encoding specification.
A possible angle map rescales a feature to [0,π]. Fit scaling on training data only and define the constant-feature case. The single-qubit demo accepts angles directly, without fitting any dataset.
Encoding is a modelling choice, not evidence of predictive information. Periodicity, clipping and train/test leakage need controls.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), 2nd ed., ch. 7, pp. 195–199 (PDF 232–236).
Explore a similarity measure for a later classification experiment. Output: a feature-map specification and comparisons with classical kernels on identical data splits.
Use the squared state overlap. For a single Ry rotation this reduces to cos²((θ−φ)/2), evaluated analytically below. It is deliberately simple enough to verify classically.
No classifier, credit decision, trained model or quantum advantage is demonstrated. A kernel formula alone establishes none of these.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), 2nd ed., ch. 12, pp. 316–319 (PDF 353–356).
Choose a number of repeated measurements for an overlap estimate. Output: a shot-budget sensitivity study and an explicit error definition.
For independent ideal Bernoulli outcomes, the frequency estimates p and has standard deviation √(p(1−p)/N). The demo displays this theoretical sampling standard error using the exact p.
No shots are actually sampled. Zero variance at p=0 or 1 assumes an ideal known probability and says nothing about readout bias or hardware errors.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), 2nd ed., ch. 12, pp. 316–319 (PDF 353–356).
Decide whether a research prototype deserves further evaluation. Output: a pre-agreed benchmark protocol including objective, feasibility, error and total cost.
Start with exact enumeration for the small instance. For larger instances, add suitable classical heuristics and record preparation, optimisation, execution and post-processing separately. This expanded protocol is our proposed adaptation.
Browser timings are not hardware comparisons. We publish no speedup, business gain or production validation from these teaching examples.
Jacquier & Kondratyev (2024), Quantum Machine Learning and Optimisation in Finance, 2nd ed., Packt, ch. 3, pp. 65–69, 74–78 (PDF 102–106, 111–115).
Clarify whether a proposal models markets with quantum-inspired equations or actually executes an algorithm on qubits. Output: an explicit model and execution taxonomy.
Lee develops a financial interpretation of Schrödinger-type and anharmonic-oscillator models. Numerical finite-difference calculations on a conventional computer remain classical computations.
A physics analogy does not establish that markets are quantum systems. The book’s forecasts and empirical generalisations have not been independently reproduced here.
Raymond S. T. Lee (2020), Quantum Finance: Intelligent Forecast and Trading Systems, Springer, ch. 5, §§5.3–5.9, pp. 94–101 (PDF 121–128), DOI 10.1007/978-981-32-9796-8.
Review a wave-function-based market model before reusing its output. Output: a notation audit and a falsifiable validation plan.
Distinguish a density ρ from an amplitude ψ with ρ=|ψ|² and specify normalisation. Lee §5.3 uses the gross price ratio Pₜ/Pₜ₋₁; it must not be silently treated as a simple or log return.
A return histogram does not identify a unique complex phase or validate a Hamiltonian. Normality, symmetry and forecasting power require separate empirical tests.
Raymond S. T. Lee (2020), Quantum Finance: Intelligent Forecast and Trading Systems, Springer, ch. 5, §§5.3–5.9, pp. 94–101 (PDF 121–128), DOI 10.1007/978-981-32-9796-8.
Frame an exploratory technology assessment for Risk, IT and a business sponsor. Output: a decision record identifying the algorithm, execution mode and evidence still needed.
Use the 2019 chapter as historical context for annealing versus gate-based computing. Our proposed checklist distinguishes classical solver, ideal simulator, noisy simulator and physical device.
Hardware counts, vendor forecasts and speed claims from 2019 are not current evidence. No claim about today’s device capabilities is made here.
Jason Kang, ch. 11 in Schulte & Lee (2019), AI & Quantum Computing for Finance & Insurance, World Scientific, pp. 311–312, 317–321 (PDF 336–337, 342–346). Historical source.
Separate scientific curiosity from a client decision. Gather purpose, data rights, confidentiality constraints, owner and acceptance criteria. Output: a scoped evaluation mandate.
The introduction argues for evidence and ethical context. We adapt that principle into a proposed workflow: approve data, record assumptions, reproduce baselines, review evidence and decide whether to stop or investigate further.
This is a proposed advisory method, not a completed client engagement, legal opinion, certification or independent validation. Do not send confidential data through contact links.
Schulte & Lee (2019), AI & Quantum Computing for Finance & Insurance, World Scientific, introduction, p. xvii (PDF 18). Historical source.
Four synthetic instruments A–D. Linear scores: −3, −2, −1.5, −1. Pair scores AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD: 1.2, 0.4, 0.2, 0.6, 0.3, 0.8, multiplied by the pair-score parameter. Lower is better; all scores are dimensionless. Enumerate all sixteen binary selections and compare with the exact feasible minimum.
Same synthetic objective, uniform initial state and one phase/mixer layer. Angles are supplied, not optimised. The chart and table show exact ideal probabilities; no measurement sampling, noise or quantum device execution. Bit order is A, B, C, D from left to right.
States Ry(θ)|0⟩ and Ry(φ)|0⟩. The overlap and ideal Bernoulli standard error are calculated analytically. N is a hypothetical measurement budget; no random shots or hardware calls are made.
OPERATING MODEL / MODEL RISK
La transformation construit une chaîne de décision et de preuve.
Séparer composants certifiés et espace de recherche.
ACTIVE CREDIT PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
Relier origination, prix, concentration et capital.
La mesure doit intégrer calibration, concentration et coûts.
Un RAROC mal spécifié peut déplacer le risque.
FRONT-TO-RISK ARCHITECTURE
Partager les faits ; gouverner les représentations.
| Contract | Taxonomie et conventions. |
|---|---|
| Market | Données de marché. |
| Model | Modèle et méthode numérique. |
| Risk | Mesures de risque. |
| Control | Contrôles et audit. |
Mesurer qualité, contrôle et délai.
FURTHER READING · THREE TAX RESEARCH PATHS
Nine complementary notes in the Labs, based on three supplied books. These reading paths are separate from the existing filtered catalogue.
Open seven tax demonstrators